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Mistakes Shouldn’t Cause Problems
Author: Mark Pilarski
Dear Mark: I was in Atlantic City last week minding my own business on a blackjack game, when a player started verbally insulting me on how I played my hands. He told me I was ruining his hands and always taking the dealer’s bust card. Do I really have that much control over the outcome of the game?
First, Helen, it’s your money, not theirs, so you have the right to play your hand any way you choose. Second, one of the biggest fallacies in all of gambling is that your play affects the overall outcome of all hands dealt. False! Each card comes out of the shoe randomly and since you, the dealer, fellow players and yes, even the cretin who insulted you, have no idea what the next card will be, poor play will have no consequence on the game in general. Unfortunately, it will influence the outcome of “your hand,” which leads me to third — playing perfect basic strategy.
Blackjack is a unique casino game because it allows players to make decisions that will affect the outcome of their bet. Poor play will allow the casino to have a 4-5% edge over the average player. If, however you learn perfect basic strategy, that edge can be reduced to well under 1%, making it a great wager and one of the best player bets in the casino. Now if the thought of breaking even against the house does not offer you enough monetary incentive to take the time to learn basic strategy, maybe knowing that you will place yourself in the 99th percentile among all players will, as less than one in every 100 players uses perfect basic strategy. Helen, your goal should be to join the one percent who will take advantage of this lucrative way of wagering.
Dear Mark: In a crap game, why is the dealer insistent that I make $6 wagers when I prefer to place either the 6 or 8?
Because by betting $6 you will get the correct return for your money. When making a place bet on the 6 or 8, you should always wager in multiplies of $6 ($12, $18, $24, etc.). The reason is that 6 and 8 pay off at 7 to 6 — you win $7 for every $6 bet. Anything less and the dealer will round down and you will be short changed.
Dear Mark: In blackjack, I seem to lose more hands than I win, even when I play perfect basic strategy against the house. If the house has only a minor edge against the player who uses basic strategy, why don’t I win close to 50 percent of my hands?
If you apply perfect basic strategy, Jason, expect to win approximately 43 percent of all blackjack hands, lose 47 percent and tie 9 percent of the time. Throw out the ties, and that figure changes to winning 47 percent and losing 53 percent of hands dealt.
So how is it conceivable to be on even keel with the casino when you lose more hands than you win? Because some winning hands are blackjacks where you are paid 1.5 times your initial bet, or hands that you split or double down on that double your initial wager.
With losing hands you are normally betting and losing only your original bet. It is the blackjacks, double downs and splits that take you fiscally from the red to the black in blackjack action. That, Jason, is why you can win as much money from 47 percent of your hands than from the casino-captured 53 percent.